Coronavirus in N.Y. Could Peak in 45 Days, Cuomo Says: Live Updates

Coronavirus in N.Y. Could Peak in 45 Days, Cuomo Says: Live Updates

On Tuesday morning, the New York City Council speaker, Corey Johnson, called for a citywide, mandatory quarantine like the one San Francisco enacted on Monday.

“We are making incremental solutions when we should be ripping the Band-Aid off,” Mr. Johnson said on the Brian Lehrer radio show on WNYC.

But Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo immediately shot it down.

“It cannot happen,” Mr. Cuomo said in a briefing 15 minutes later. “No city in the state can quarantine itself without state approval, and I have no interest whatsoever and no plan whatsoever to quarantine any city.”

Mr. Cuomo said any move to implement a quarantine would be “statewide, comprehensive,” but that there was none in the works.

As of Tuesday morning, 1,374 people in New York State had tested positive for the virus, up from 950 the day before; 644 of the cases were in the city. Twelve people have died from the virus in New York State, including seven in New York City.

A City Council member, Ritchie Torres of the Bronx, said Tuesday that he and a staff member had tested positive for the virus.

The number of cases in New Jersey rose to 178 on Monday, nearly double the 98 the state reported the day before. In Connecticut, the count reached 41 confirmed cases, up from 26 on Sunday.

Mr. Cuomo said that the outbreak was projected to peak in 45 days, around May 1. At that point, he said, the state would need 55,000 to 110,000 hospital beds and 18,600 to 37,000 intensive care beds.

The peak will likely overwhelm New York’s health care system, Mr. Cuomo said: The state currently has about 53,000 hospital beds and 3,000 intensive-care beds. Eighty percent of the intensive-care beds are already occupied, he said.

“The numbers are daunting,” Mr. Cuomo said. “What are we doing? Everything we can.”

Mayor Bill de Blasio of New York City has, from the beginning of the crisis caused by coronavirus, used great disasters of the past as reference points. On Tuesday, he warned New Yorkers to brace themselves for economic hardship like something out of the Great Depression.

Appearing on CNN, the mayor pleaded for the federal government to provide cash aid to people whose livelihoods have been affected, directly or indirectly, by the virus and said the city’s upended existence could last “well through the summer.”

“The federal government needs to put money back in the hands of people,” said the mayor, a second-term Democrat. “We need direct income replacement at this point.”

Restrictions on the city’s 25,000 restaurants, which are now allowed only to do takeout and delivery, will likely remain in place for months. “Thank God some people will still be employed,” the mayor said.

On Monday, after Governor Cuomo waived the seven-day waiting period to apply for unemployment, the surge of new claims crashed the State Labor Department’s website. The agency said calls more than tripled from last Monday — a rush it likened to the aftermath of 9/11.

“This is a deep, deep economic hole,” Mr. Cuomo said. “You’ll have businesses closed that never reopen.”

New York City will open about 100 emergency child care centers across the five boroughs on Monday, according to the city’s Department of Education. The centers will accommodate the children of emergency services workers, health care workers and transit workers who attend both public and private schools, as well as some other highly vulnerable students.

The sites, called regional enrichment centers, will provide remote learning and meals for children age 3 through 18. Each room will have no more than 12 children and at least one adult to maintain social distancing.

All New York City public school students will switch to remote learning as of Monday, and children in the enrichment centers will join the same online classes that their classmates from regular school are participating in.

The centers will be open from 7:30 a.m. to 6 p.m. and serve three meals to students in their classrooms, rather than in cafeterias, to avoid crowding. All other children in New York under the age of 18 can pick up free food at about 100 other sites that will be identified later this week, for as long as schools are closed.

It is possible that the state could slow down the spread of the virus enough to curb the demand for ventilators, the machines that help the sickest patients breathe.

But a panel convened a few years ago by the state found that in the worst-case scenario of a flulike pandemic, New York could be short by more than 15,000 ventilators.

The panel, the New York State Task Force on Life and the Law, issued the 2015 report to guide hospitals on how to decide whom to ventilate and whom to effectively let die during an emergency. The advice is now frighteningly relevant.

While a national stockpile of ventilators exists, it is unclear how the machines will be doled out. On Monday, President Trump said that states should not count on the federal government for more ventilators or other equipment.

“We will be backing you,” Mr. Trump said to the nation’s governors, “but try getting it yourselves.

People who fail to abide by emergency rules that ban eating at restaurants can expect a ticket and maybe even handcuffs, according to police enforcement guidance issued on Monday.

The rules, outlined in an executive order that Mayor de Blasio signed Monday, limit food establishments to takeout and delivery only.

The order, which also required gyms and entertainment venues like nightclubs and theaters to close, took effect at 8 p.m. on Monday, and was preceded with a directive from the governor that banned gatherings of 50 people or more in New York.

A police memo advised officers who come across violations of the mayor’s emergency rules that they can order food establishments vacated and issue summonses to restaurant owners.

If owners refuse officers’ orders, they can be arrested.

Customers who refuse to leave can be given a ticket for disobeying a lawful order to disperse or arrested.

A police official noted that the department does not anticipate that these options would be widely invoked, because officials expect broad compliance.

New York City’s Board of Correction on Tuesday called for the release of detainees at high risk for coronavirus and for a reduction of the city jail population, currently at more than 5,000 inmates.

The board urged jail officials to prioritize releasing those who have serious health problems, are over 50, are being detained on parole violations or are serving sentences under a year.

“The city must drastically reduce the number of people in jail right now and limit new admissions to exceptional circumstances,” the board wrote.

The board provides oversight over the jail system, which is run by the city Department of Correction. It cannot release prisoners.

The effort to reduce the jail population has been taken up by prosecutors. Brooklyn’s district attorney, Eric Gonzalez, said on Twitter that his office would stop prosecuting low-level offenses “that do not jeopardize public safety.”

Mr. Gonzalez asked defense lawyers to notify his office of clients who “are vulnerable to infection and who we should consider releasing during this crisis.”

Bars are closed, the theaters are shuttered, and not even the mayor can perform his morning workout. One constant remains in New York City: Alternate-side parking is in effect.

“That’s still being discussed,” Mayor de Blasio said on Monday when asked whether the city would suspend the practice.

Tuesday morning, the rules were still being enforced.

Alternate-side parking rules, the bane of New York City’s car owners, require vehicles to be moved out of the way of street cleaners on one side of the street on specific days, often twice a week.

The rules are waived on holidays and are often suspended for days at a time during snow and other kinds of foul weather.

But with the city health department urging New Yorkers to stay home as much as possible, a growing number of motorists and elected officials have been calling for the city to suspend a rule that forces people out of their homes.

“It’s completely insane, insane, that alternate side of the street parking has not been suspended” City Council Speaker Corey Johnson said on Tuesday.

Laura Feyer, a spokeswoman for the mayor, said that car owners who received alternate-side parking tickets while under self-isolation could have the tickets dismissed with “medical documentation or testimony.”

On Tuesday, all New York City recreation centers and nature centers closed to the public until further notice, the parks department said. City parks and playgrounds remain open.

One caution: New York City does not regularly clean outdoor furniture and play equipment, and estimates on how long the coronavirus can survive on surfaces range widely, from a couple of minutes to days.

“We have not yet committed to changing our standard operations due to coronavirus, said Meghan Lalor, a spokeswoman for the city parks department, “but we will continue to monitor the situation as it develops.”

Dr. Sean O’Leary, M.D., an executive member of the American Academy of Pediatrics’ Committee on Infectious Diseases, said playgrounds are “probably not the safest place right now.” He recommended going to big, wide-open parks when available.

The New York Times is looking for New York City teachers to tell us about the switch to remote learning. We want to hear about lesson plans, what you’re learning from colleagues during training and how you’re planning to check on students that need the most support.

If you can, send us a screenshot of your lesson, or a photo of your home classroom setup. Your name and comments may be published, but your contact information will not. A reporter or editor may follow up with you.

Jonah Engel Bromwich, Annie Correal, Luis Ferré-Sadurní, Joseph Goldstein, Jessica Grose, Matthew Haag, Corina Knoll, Patrick McGeehan, Jesse McKinley, Andy Newman, Amelia Nierenberg, Jan Ransom, Brian M. Rosenthal, Matthew Sedacca, Eliza Shapiro, Ashley Southall, Liam Stack, Tracey Tully and Michael Wilson contributed reporting.

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