49ers news: Taking a look at what could happen to the 2021 salary cap if fans aren’t allowed into stadiums

49ers news: Taking a look at what could happen to the 2021 salary cap if fans aren’t allowed into stadiums


So, we all know that this COVID-19/conronavirus has taken over 100,000 American lives, and it looks like the 2020 NFL season will at the very best be played with no fans in the stadiums, at worse, it’ll be canceled, but for this article, let’s say it’s not canceled, but fans aren’t permitted into stadiums. What will that exactly do the salary cap?

Well, the NFL will lose billions of dollars due to no fans in the stadiums, despite the revenue from TV deals, which means the NFL salary cap will likely go down from the current $198.2 million per team.

According to ESPN’s Adam Schefter, it could decrease/fall as much as $30 million to $80 million, which would bring it back to the 2013-2014 range of the NFL salary cap.

Now, to me, this is just ridiculous for the NFL to lower the 2021 salary cap, to me, the owners, who already are billionaires, and make billions each year, should take this one on the chin, but likely that won’t happen; thus the NFL will lower the salary cap, which means we could see a holdout from the NFLPA over this.

But, let’s get back to this article, the 49ers currently have 55 players signed for 2021, with a commitment of $172,142,496. Still, with the top 51 rule applied, the team’s commitment is $169,022,496, which under the current projected salary cap, which would be $215 million per team, the 49ers would have $45,977,504 in cap room. Still, we know that the team will likely extend George Kittle this offseason, and they have several players making money that they won’t see in 2021.

Most teams will have between 30-35 players signed for 2021 when rosters are finalized, and the season goes on. In my projected 53-man roster, below, I have the 49ers at 34 players signed for 2021.

53-Man roster + Injured List:

  1. QB 10 Jimmy Garoppolo(2022) – $26.6 million cap hit
  2. QB 4 Nick Mullens(2020) – $750,000 cap hit
  3. RB 31 Raheem Mostert(2021) – $3,158,333 cap hit
  4. RB 26 Tevin Coleman(2020) – $4,868,750 cap hit
  5. RB 28 Jerick McKinnon(2020) – $4.91 million cap hit
  6. RB 30 Jeff Wilson Jr.(2020) – $750,000 cap hit
  7. FB 44 Kyle Juszyzck(2020) – $6.7 million cap hit
  8. WR 19 Deebo Samuel(2022) – $1,749,339 cap hit
  9. WR 11 Brandon Ayiuk(2023) – $2,278,427 cap hit
  10. WR 84 Kendrick Bourne(2020) – $3.259 million cap hit
  11. WR 15 Trent Taylor(2020) – $875,487 cap hit
  12. WR 18 Dante Pettis(2021)- $1,745,606 cap hit
  13. WR 14 Jalen Hurd(2022) – $972,655 cap hit (PUP)
  14. WR 81 Jauan Jennings(2023) – $637,756 cap hit
  15. TE 85 George Kittle(2020) – $2,207,574 cap hit
  16. TE 82 Ross Dwelley(2020) – $750,000 cap hit
  17. TE 89 Charlie Woerner(2023) – $655,258 cap hit
  18. C 58 Weston Richburg(2022) – $4,390,141 cap hit
  19. C 63 Ben Garland(2020) – $2 million cap hit
  20. LG 75 Laken Tomlinson(2021) – $5.75 million cap hit
  21. RG 60 Daniel Brunskill(2020) – $675,000 cap hit
  22. RG 68 Colton McKivitz(2023) – $692,445 cap hit
  23. LT 71 Trent Williams(2020) – $12.5 million cap hit
  24. LT 78 Shon Coleman(2020) – $962,500 cap hit
  25. RT 69 Mike McGlinchey(2021) – $5,092,330 cap hit
  26. RT 67 Justin Skule(2022) – $719,887 cap hit
  27. DE 91 Arik Armstead(2024) – $6 million cap hit
  28. DE 97 Nick Bosa(2022) – $7,715,424 cap hit
  29. DE 92 Kerry Hyder Jr.(2020) – $1.5 million cap hit
  30. LEO 55 Dee Ford(2023) – $15,865,625 cap hit
  31. LEO 98 Ronald Blair III(2020) – $1,047,500 cap hit (PUP)
  32. DT 99 Javon Kinlaw(2023) – $2,816,127 cap hit
  33. DT 94 Solomon Thomas(2020) – $7,715,424 cap hit
  34. DT 90 Kevin Givens(2021) – $610,000 cap hit
  35. DT 95 Kentavius Street(2021) – $902,500 cap hit
  36. NT 93 D.J. Jones(2020) – $861,967 cap hit
  37. NT 65 Darrion Daniels(2022) – $618,333 cap hit
  38. NT 77 Jullian Taylor(2021) – $774,511 cap hit (PUP)
  39. SAM 57 Dre Greenlaw(2022) – $755,429 cap hit
  40. MIKE 54 Fred Warner(2021) – $1,096,547 cap hit
  41. MIKE 51 Azeez Al-Shaair(2021) – $680,000 cap hit
  42. WILL 56 Kwon Alexander(2022) – $4,572,769 cap hit
  43. WILL 59 Joe Walker(2020) – $900,000 cap hit
  44. CB 25 Richard Sherman(2020) – $13,987,500 cap hit
  45. CB 41 Emmanuel Moseley(2020) – $675,000 cap hit
  46. CB 24 K’Waun Williams(2020) – $3,184,375 cap hit
  47. CB 23 Ahkello Witherspoon(2020) – $2,376,393 cap hit
  48. CB 32 D.J. Reed Jr.(2021) – $827,843 cap hit
  49. CB 35 Tim Harris Jr.(2022) – $649,577 cap hit
  50. FS 20 Jimmie Ward(2022) – $3,906,250 cap hit
  51. FS 33 Tarvarius Moore(2021) – $946,093 cap hit
  52. SS 29 Jaquiski Tartt(2020) – $6.275 million cap hit
  53. SS 43 Jared Mayden(2022) – $613,333 cap hit
  54. PK 9 Robbie Gould(2022) – $5.1 million cap hit
  55. P 6 Mitch Wishnowsky(2022) – $866,018 cap hit
  56. LS 86 Kyle Nelson(2022) – $1.045 million cap hit

Practice Squad:

  1. QB 5 Broc Rutter
  2. RB 35 Salvon Ahmed
  3. RB 38 JaMycal Hasty
  4. FB 49 Josh Hokit
  5. WR 7 Chris Finke
  6. TE 83 Chase Harrell
  7. TE 88 Daniel Helm
  8. LG 76 Ross Reynolds
  9. LEO 61 Jonathan Kongbo
  10. SAM 47 Jonas Griffith
  11. CB 49 DeMarkus Acy
  12. SS 36 Marcell Harris

Now as for 2021, I have the team with a commitment of $154,063,736 for 2021, which would leave the team at $60,936,264 in cap room under a $215 million cap, but we know that it’s not a given the cap will rise, or decrease, it’s purely an unknown, and we won’t know until, frankly next March, but let’s continue.

The projected cap table for my 53-man roster is below, for 2021 that is.

Name Pos. Signed 2021 Cap Number Prorated Roster Workout LTBE Base
Garoppolo, Jimmy – #10 QB 2022 $26,900,000 $1,400,000 $800,000 $600,000 $0 $24,100,000
Ford, Dee – #55 LEO 2023 $17,600,000 $1,600,000 $750,000 $100,000 $0 $15,150,000
Alexander, Kwon – #56 WLB 2022 $16,521,444 $3,121,444 $750,000 $100,000 $0 $12,550,000
Armstead, Arik – #91 DE/DT 2025 $12,500,000 $5,000,000 $750,000 $100,000 $0 $6,650,000
Richburg, Weston – #58 C 2022 $11,405,141 $3,055,141 $400,000 $100,000 $0 $7,850,000
Ward, Jimmie – #20 FS/CB 2022 $11,000,000 $2,000,000 $500,000 $100,000 $0 $8,400,000
Bosa, Nick – #97 DE/LEO 2022 $9,325,509 $5,605,339 $2,870,170 $0 $0 $850,000
Tomlinson, Laken – #75 LG 2021 $6,250,000 $1,250,000 $400,000 $100,000 $0 $4,500,000
McGlinchey, Mike – #69 RT 2021 $6,006,052 $2,854,886 $2,231,166 $0 $0 $920,000
Gould, Robbie – #9 PK 2022 $5,250,000 $750,000 $0 $0 $0 $4,500,000
Kinlaw, Javon – #99 DT 2023 $3,520,159 $2,206,127 $0 $0 $0 $1,314,032
Mostert, Raheem – #31 RB 2021 $3,508,334 $333,334 $250,000 $50,000 $0 $2,875,000
Aiyuk, Brandon – #11 WR 2023 $2,848,034 $1,668,427 $0 $0 $0 $1,179,607
Samuel, Deebo – #19 WR 2022 $2,099,279 $904,519 $0 $50,000 $0 $1,144,760
Pettis, Dante – #18 WR 2021 $2,036,543 $683,738 $0 $100,000 $0 $1,252,805
Warner, Fred – #54 MLB 2021 $1,234,547 $252,547 $0 $0 $0 $982,000
Hurd, Jalen – #14 WR/TE 2022 $1,167,186 $283,124 $0 $0 $0 $884,062
Moore, Tarvarius – #33 FS/CB 2021 $1,116,093 $196,093 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
Nelson, Kyle – #86 LS/TE 2022 $1,075,000 $0 $0 $0 $0 $1,075,000
Street, Kentavius – #95 DT/DE 2021 $1,072,550 $152,550 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
Wishnowsky, Mitch – #6 P 2022 $1,041,018 $191,018 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
Reed Jr., D.J. – #93 CB/FS 2021 $997,843 $77,843 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
Taylor, Jullian – #77 NT/DT 2021 $944,511 $24,511 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
James Jr., Richie – #13 WR 2021 $939,143 $19,143 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
Greenlaw, Dre – #57 SLB 2022 $930,429 $80,429 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
Skule, Justin – #67 RT/LT 2022 $894,887 $44,887 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
Harris Jr., Tim – #35 CB 2022 $889,577 $39,577 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
McKivitz, Colton – #68 RG/LT 2023 $862,445 $82,445 $0 $0 $0 $780,000
Al-Shaair, Azeez – #51 MLB 2021 $855,000 $5,000 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
Woerner, Charlie – #89 TE 2023 $825,258 $45,258 $0 $0 $0 $780,000
Jennings Jauan – #81 WR 2023 $807,756 $27,756 $0 $0 $0 $780,000
Daniels, Darrion – #65 NT 2022 $788,333 $8,333 $0 $0 $0 $780,000
Mayden, Jared – #43 SS/CB 2022 $783,333 $3,333 $0 $0 $0 $780,000
Givens, Kevin – #90 DT/NT 2021 $780,000 $0 $0 $0 $0 $780,000

Below is the projected cap room table with previous cap limits

Total $154,775,404
Dead $68,332
Total and Dead $154,843,736
Top 51 Rule $154,063,736
2021 Cap $215,000,000 $225,000,000 $230,000,000 $240,000,000
Cap Space $60,936,264 $70,156,264 $75,156,264 $85,156,264
Effective Cap Room $60,156,264
Players under contract 34 Players

Now the salary cap room table with cap limits ranging from $180 million, all the way down to $120 million

Total $154,775,404
Dead $68,332
Total and Dead $154,843,736
Top 51 Rule $154,063,736
2021 Cap $180,000,000 $170,000,000 $160,000,000 $150,000,000 $140,000,000 $130,000,000 $120,000,000
Cap Space $25,936,264 $15,156,264 $5,156,264 ($4,843,736) ($14,843,736) ($24,063,736) ($34,063,736)
Effective Cap Room $25,156,264
Players under contract 34 Players

$25,936,264 on a $180 million cap, $15,156,264 on a $170 million cap, $5,156,264 on a $160 million cap, ($4,843,736) on a $150 million cap, ($14,843,736) on a $140 million cap, ($24,063,736) on a $130 million cap, and ($34,063,736) on a $120 million cap.

Now, obviously, if the salary cap is anywhere below $160 million, the 49ers need to get under the salary cap, a few ways of doing this is, obviously by restructuring contracts, which would be Jimmy Garoppolo, Dee Ford, Kwon Alexander, and Weston Richburg, the teams biggest base salaries for 2021.

If they did restructure those four contracts, they’d save $18.42 million(Garoppolo), $11.26 million(Ford), $9.18 million(Alexander), $5.42 million(Richburg), which is a total of $44.28 million in extra cap room created. They could also restructure Arik Armstead, and Jimmie Ward’s contracts, which would free up $4.46 million(Armstead), and $5.86 million(Ward).

Below is what the 49ers salary cap would look like if those restructures would happen.

Name Pos. Signed 2021 Cap Number Prorated Roster Workout LTBE Base
Bosa, Nick – #97 DE/LEO 2022 $9,325,509 $5,605,339 $2,870,170 $0 $0 $850,000
Garoppolo, Jimmy – #10 QB 2022 $8,480,000 $6,005,000 $800,000 $600,000 $0 $1,075,000
Armstead, Arik – #91 DE/DT 2025 $8,040,000 $6,115,000 $750,000 $100,000 $0 $1,075,000
Alexander, Kwon – #56 WLB 2022 $7,341,444 $5,416,444 $750,000 $100,000 $0 $1,075,000
Ford, Dee – #55 LEO 2023 $6,340,000 $4,415,000 $750,000 $100,000 $0 $1,075,000
Tomlinson, Laken – #75 LG 2021 $6,250,000 $1,250,000 $400,000 $100,000 $0 $4,500,000
McGlinchey, Mike – #69 RT 2021 $6,006,052 $2,854,886 $2,231,166 $0 $0 $920,000
Richburg, Weston – #58 C 2022 $5,985,141 $4,410,141 $400,000 $100,000 $0 $1,075,000
Gould, Robbie – #9 PK 2022 $5,250,000 $750,000 $0 $0 $0 $4,500,000
Ward, Jimmie – #20 FS/CB 2022 $5,140,000 $3,465,000 $500,000 $100,000 $0 $1,075,000
Kinlaw, Javon – #99 DT 2023 $3,520,159 $2,206,127 $0 $0 $0 $1,314,032
Mostert, Raheem – #31 RB 2021 $3,508,334 $333,334 $250,000 $50,000 $0 $2,875,000
Aiyuk, Brandon – #11 WR 2023 $2,848,034 $1,668,427 $0 $0 $0 $1,179,607
Samuel, Deebo – #19 WR 2022 $2,099,279 $904,519 $0 $50,000 $0 $1,144,760
Pettis, Dante – #18 WR 2021 $2,036,543 $683,738 $0 $100,000 $0 $1,252,805
Warner, Fred – #54 MLB 2021 $1,234,547 $252,547 $0 $0 $0 $982,000
Hurd, Jalen – #14 WR/TE 2022 $1,167,186 $283,124 $0 $0 $0 $884,062
Moore, Tarvarius – #33 FS/CB 2021 $1,116,093 $196,093 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
Nelson, Kyle – #86 LS/TE 2022 $1,075,000 $0 $0 $0 $0 $1,075,000
Street, Kentavius – #95 DT/DE 2021 $1,072,550 $152,550 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
Wishnowsky, Mitch – #6 P 2022 $1,041,018 $191,018 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
Reed Jr., D.J. – #93 CB/FS 2021 $997,843 $77,843 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
Taylor, Jullian – #77 NT/DT 2021 $944,511 $24,511 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
James Jr., Richie – #13 WR 2021 $939,143 $19,143 $0 $0 $0 $920,000
Greenlaw, Dre – #57 SLB 2022 $930,429 $80,429 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
Skule, Justin – #67 RT/LT 2022 $894,887 $44,887 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
Harris Jr., Tim – #35 CB 2022 $889,577 $39,577 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
McKivitz, Colton – #68 RG/LT 2023 $862,445 $82,445 $0 $0 $0 $780,000
Al-Shaair, Azeez – #51 MLB 2021 $855,000 $5,000 $0 $0 $0 $850,000
Woerner, Charlie – #89 TE 2023 $825,258 $45,258 $0 $0 $0 $780,000
Jennings Jauan – #81 WR 2023 $807,756 $27,756 $0 $0 $0 $780,000
Daniels, Darrion – #65 NT 2022 $788,333 $8,333 $0 $0 $0 $780,000
Mayden, Jared – #43 SS/CB 2022 $783,333 $3,333 $0 $0 $0 $780,000

Total $99,395,404
Dead $68,332
Total and Dead $99,463,736
Top 51 Rule $98,683,736
2021 Cap $180,000,000 $170,000,000 $160,000,000 $150,000,000 $140,000,000 $130,000,000 $120,000,000
Cap Space $81,316,264 $70,536,264 $60,536,264 $50,536,264 $40,536,264 $31,316,264 $21,316,264
Effective Cap Room $80,536,264
Players under contract 34 Players

So as you can see, while not the most popular thing to do, the 49ers would need to restructure those contracts to either get under the now lower cap or to add cap room to retain their free agents, which I’ll now list below.

QB Nick Mullens – RFA Likely gets 1st or 2nd rd tender

QB CJ Beathard – UFA Likely gone, or back on a cheap deal, hopefully, traded this offseason after cuts

RB Tevin Coleman – UFA Likely replaced with a UDFA or another vet.

RB Jerick McKinnon – UFA Could be brought back cheap IMO

RB Jeff Wilson Jr. – RFA Likely not tendered unless the team wants to get a pick for him so 2nd rd tender and trade ala Breida

FB Kyle Juszyzsck – UFA Not going anywhere, Kyle won’t allow him to leave, still young, best FB in the NFL.

WR Kendrick Bourne – UFA Should extend now IMO

WR Trent Taylor – UFA Don’t see him back unless cheap

WR Travis Benjamin – UFA May not make the 53, saves $1.045M

TE George Kittle – UFA Not going anywhere

TE Ross Dwelley – RFA Likely not tendered, but signed to 1yr minimum deal

TE Daniel Helm – ERFA If he makes it he won’t be going anywhere, it only costs $865K to remain

C Ben Garland – UFA Easy re-signing, knows KS’s system, did well in 2019

C Jake Brendel – RFA Doubt he makes the 53

OG Daniel Brunskill – ERFA Not going anywhere, will only cost $865K to tender

OG Tom Compton – UFA May not make the 2020 team, has $750K GTD, saves $1.95M if cut

OT Trent Williams – UFA Not going anywhere, will be tagged if need be

OT Shon Coleman – UFA Easy re-signing as swing Tackle

OT Leonard Wester – RFA Doubt he makes the 53

DE Ronald Blair III – UFA Easy re-signing as EDGE rusher IMO

DE Kerry Hyder Jr. – UFA Another easy re-signing as a 1yr deal

DT Solomon Thomas – UFA Gone IMO unless he has a breakout year, Kinlaw is the man at 3T

DT Willie Henry Jr. – RFA Likely not on the 53

NT D.J. Jones – UFA Should be back, not like he’s going to cost $10M A yr, he’s a NT playing less than 30% snaps despite the new free agent

WLB Joe Walker – UFA Another easy 1yr re-signing

CB Richard Sherman – UFA Not going anywhere, the 49ers won’t let Sherman leave

CB K’Waun Williams – UFA Should be paid a good amount as one of the best Slot CBs; hopefully they bring him back

CB Emmanuel Moseley – ERFA Not going anywhere, will only cost $865K to tender

CB Ahkello Witherspoon – UFA Likely replaced with a vet or draft pick

CB Teez Tabor – RFA Doubt he even makes the 53

CB Dontae Johnson – UFA Likely not on the 53

CB Jason Verrett – UFA Likely not on the 53 unless he has a breakout camp/Preseason

FS Derrick Kindred – RFA Doubt he makes the 53

SS Jaquiski Tartt – UFA Could lose via FA if he wants more than what Ward got, but I think the 49ers bring him back if he has a good year, he and Ward are a good Safety tandem.

SS Marcell Harris – RFA May not make the 53, wouldn’t be tendered high if he makes it, would be original round tender

Of those pending 2021 free agents, only ten starters are free agents, if you include both the Slot WR and Slot CB, 11 if you include the teams #2 back Tevin Coleman.

Some projected APYs(Average Per Year) for their starters who are free agents.

RB Tevin Coleman – $4 million

FB Kyle Juszyzck – $5.25 million

WR Kendrick Bourne – $4 million

TE George Kittle – $14 million

LT Trent Williams – $22 million

NT D.J. Jones – $5 million

CB Richard Sherman – $10 million

CB K’Waun Williams – $7 million

SS Jaquiski Tartt – $9.5 million

I didn’t include Brunskill(RG), or Moseley(CB) because they’re exclusive rights free agents, and would only cost $865,000 on 1-year tenders.

Like I said above, I’d expect the 49ers to tender Nick Mullens, their #2 QB at the 1st or 2nd-round level, after all, Taysom Hill was tendered at the 1st-round level by the New Orleans Saints, and he isn’t nearly the QB Mullens is.

All in all, despite the fact that the cap may go down, the 49ers can still maintain long term flexibility and keep their team together, plus in 2022 the cap would likely go way back up to the $200 million or more range.

Now, if by chance the cap goes down to the $120 million range, then the team may have to make some tough decisions, but I’d expect most of their starters to be back, with low year one cap numbers.

Another thing the 49ers could do to avoid restructuring all these players is redoing Jimmy Garoppolo, and Dee Ford’s contracts this season, which would save $18.312 million(Garoppolo), and $10,238,875(Ford), which I’d suggest the 49ers hang onto, and carryover into 2021 as extra cap room in their back pocket, and that’s a total of $28,550,875 in extra cap room.



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